Native tool · INT.03 Buy · runs on this page

EV vs ICE Breakeven

Two cars, one decision, N years. This puts purchase price, residual value, energy, tax, insurance, maintenance, the charger and the cost of tied-up money into two cumulative curves and tells you the year they cross, if they do.

Free forever No login Depreciation shown Sharable link

Breakeven · v1.0

Cumulative cost, year by year
Y
KM
%/Y
What the money could earn elsewhere. Zero to ignore.

The electric car

€
%
Your assumption. Used-market prices for the same age are the best guide.
KWH/100
/KWH
From Charging Cost per 100 km.
%
€
€/Y
€/Y
€/Y

The petrol or diesel car

€
%
L/100
/L
€/Y
€/Y
€/Y
year 3breakeven

Over 8 years the EV costs €3 682 less

    EV petrol / diesel

      Per year: depreciation on a geometric curve to your residual, plus energy, tax, insurance and maintenance at your mileage, plus your discount rate on the value still tied up in the car. The EV's charger install lands in year one. Grants, leases and battery replacement are outside the model, on purpose.

      The two lines most comparisons leave out

      Depreciation is the biggest cost of owning either car, and the one most EV-versus-petrol calculators skip because it is awkward to source. Here it is your assumption, entered as the share of the price left after the period, and the tool spreads the loss along a geometric curve so early years take the bigger hit, as they do in the real market. Look at used prices for the same model at the age you will sell, and enter what you see.

      Opportunity cost is the money's other job. Forty thousand in a car is forty thousand not in a savings account or a mortgage overpayment. Each year the tool charges your discount rate on the value still tied up in each car. It is a separate line so you can see how much of the verdict it carries, and a zero if you would rather not count it.

      Reading the curves

      The bars show cumulative cost at the end of each year: orange for the EV, grey for the petrol or diesel car. The breakeven is the first year the car that cost more to buy has spent less in total. Mileage moves it more than any other input, because the EV's edge is per kilometre while its premium is fixed. With the defaults, 15 000 km a year crosses in year three; halve the mileage and the crossing slides toward the end of the period.

      Defaults, 8 years, 15 000 km/yrEVPetrol
      Energy per year7011 706
      Tax + insurance + servicing per year1 0001 350
      Depreciation over 8 years22 00018 000
      Opportunity cost at 3 %6 9484 990
      Total over 8 years43 75847 440
      Tab.01 — the default comparison, line by line; the EV loses more value and still wins on the total

      FAQ

      Usually missing, which is why so many comparisons flatter whichever car is dearer to buy. This tool takes your residual assumption for each car, spreads the loss along a geometric curve, and prints depreciation as its own line next to running costs.

      Money tied up in a car cannot earn elsewhere. Each year the tool charges your discount rate on the value still sitting in each car; at 3 %, 40 000 tied up costs 1 200 in the first year. Set the rate to zero to ignore it.

      Because the EV's advantage is almost entirely per kilometre while its disadvantage is fixed. Double the annual kilometres and the saving doubles while the premium stays put, so the crossover arrives sooner. Low-mileage drivers may never reach it inside the period.